Why Virgin Galactic (SPCE) Stock Could Decline 50% (Complete SPCE Breakdown)

Published on March 29, 2021

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Virgin Galactic (SPCE) Stock has declined recently, and its drop may not be over yet. With investors like Chamath Palihapitiya and Cathie Wood selling, it’s worth breaking down this company more closely.

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SPCE Stock had a huge run-up earlier this year after Cathie Wood announced she would be launching a space ETF as part of her ARKK funds. However, recent events such as Chamath Palihapitiya selling his personal stake in the company have depressed prices more recently. In this SPCE stock analysis/breakdown, I will be looking at the stock from 3 angles. First as an investor in high growth SaaS stocks by trying to estimate how likely is Virgin Galactic to grow into its current valuation. Next I will apply a first principles approach advocated by Elon Musk of SpaceX to look at Virgin Galactic’s technology offerings, comparing them to possible competitors such as Jeff Bezos’s Blue Origin and SpaceX. Finally I will look in more detail at Chamath and Cathie Wood’s recent sales of the stock, and give my take on what this means for the company’s future.

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